FTSE 100 fails to build on Wednesday’s rebound as sterling strength weighs
- FTSE closes around 50 points off
- Pound remains higher on election hopes
- Oil and gas indices focused on OPEC meeting
5.10pm: FTSE 100 closes in red
FTSE 100 index failed to extend yesterday's gains and closed in the red on Thursday as a stronger pound hurt the dollar earning constituents of the benchmark index.
Footsie closed around 50 points lower, to stand at 7,137, with miners taking a hit.
The pound added 0.44% against the US dollar, at 1.3163.
"It is a broad based sell-off as several industries are suffering. The rally in the pound has hit the firms that draw a large portion of their income from overseas, while an investigation surrounding Glencore has hurt the mining sector," noted David Madden, market analyst at CMC Markets UK.
On the ongoing trade situation, he added: "Some traders are optimistic that some sort of a phase one trade deal will be sorted out within two weeks, while others are still fearful Mr Trump could talk about pushing back any trade deal until the 2020 presidential election is over – like he did earlier this week."
Elsewhere, on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed nearly 30 points at 27,619, while the S&P 500 fell over two points to stand at 3,110.
4pm: FTSE 100 at nine-week low
Stock market indices on both sides of the Atlantic aligned in the red as the S&P 500 joined its peers on the back foot.
Global equity benchmarks are shaking over persistent uncertainty regarding US-China trade talks, especially after Beijing did not seem to be as ready to clinch an agreement, following todays demand for tariff cuts.
“While the markets avoided the kind of bloody plunges that opened December, the afternoon wasnt without its losses,” Connor Campbell, financial analyst at Spreadex, said in a note.
In London, the Footsie said goodbye to another 47 points to 7,141, its lowest since the start of October, with commodities stocks the main drag due to the fraud investigation into Glencore and the upcoming 15 December deadline set for Washington and Beijing.
Anglo American plc (LON:AAL), BHP Group PLC (LON:BHP) and Rio Tinto plc (LON:RIO) were among the biggest fallers, along with Asia focused stocks HSBC Holdings PLC (LON: HSBC), Standard Chartered PLC (LON:STAN) and Prudential (LON:PRU).
Paper and packaging companies were also pulled lower by DS Smiths disappointing update.
3.15pm: Wall Street opens flat
US equity indices barely moved after the opening bell.
In early Wall Street trading, the Dow and the Nasdaq Composite were barely in the red, losing 46 points to 27,605 and 5 points to 8,561 respectively.
The broad-based S&P 500 was doing slightly better, but only gaining 2 points to 3,114.
Back on this side of the pond, the FTSE 100 hastened its descent as it moved towards the close.
Blue-chip index doubled its loss to 46 points, reaching 7,143.
Sterling kept the steady growth rising 0.4% to US$1.3152.
2.25pm: Glencore to be investigated by UK fraud authority
The blue-chip index shed 21 points to 7,167, while the Anglo-Swiss group went down by 7% to 222p.
Glencore said in a statement it will cooperate with the Serious Fraud Office (SFO), which in turn said it cannot comment on the process as it has not been concluded yet.
Earlier this year it emerged the SFO was looking into dealings with Dan Gertler, a former business partner in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The US slapped sanctions on Gertler in December 2017 for alleged corruption in oil and mining deals.
Meanwhile, Burberry was still enjoying the 4% surge, trading at 2,065, on the back of a potential merger between fashion companies Kering and Moncler, despite the Italian brand stating “there is not any concrete hypothesis under consideration” after the rumours sparked.
1.30pm: Wall Street to open higher
Wall Street stocks are set to open higher on Thursday as optimism over US-China trade talks could avoid further tariffs on 15 December, though the Footsie remains under water losing 18 points to 7,170.
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 are set to rise 78 and 8 points respectively, according to the futures market as traders mull new China reports.
The Chinese commerce ministry said earlier today that tariffs must be cut in order to reach a deal, while analysts say that Trump is willing to keep the market happy ahead of next years presidential elections.
Brent crude was up 0.86% to US$63.54 per barrel as OPEC-plus oil ministers gather in Vienna, with Saudi Arabia set to confirm its pledge of production cuts while holding Russia and Iraq accountable for their promises to join in with cuts.
If all parties agree, analysts expect oil prices to be supported in their surge.
“The talk of a deeper 400K bpd production cut however is likely as the Saudis already voluntarily overcomply by roughly that amount,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda, in a note.
“The base case is for the OPEC + alliance production to get extended at least six months or possibly to end of next year.”
12.15pm: Burberry boosted by merger speculation
Londons blue chips slipped slightly lower by lunchtime on Thursday even though the pound lost a bit of momentum after the seven-month high reached earlier this morning.
Sterling has softened from its earlier seven-month high against the dollar to 1.3138, up 0.2%, while the FTSE is has dipped 13 points to 7,175.
“As has been a constant theme in recent months the leading UK benchmark continues to lag with the FTSE 100 pretty much flat on the day,” said David Cheetham, chief market analyst at XTB.
“The further appreciation of the pound is providing a headwind for UK blue-chips and the FTSE remains not far from its lowest level in 6 weeks,” he added.
French group Kering, the owner of Gucci and Yves Saint Laurent, may be interested in buying Italian puffer jacket maker Moncler, according to Bloomberg, only weeks after the sector saw Louis Vuitton owner LVMH confirming the US$16bn takeover of New York jeweller Tiffany & Co (NYSE:TIF).
11am: Aston Martin races higher
The Footsie is flat after pound retreated slightly after hitting a seven-month high earlier with traders optimistic about a “market friendly” general election result.
Sterling hit 1.3148, its highest level against the dollar since early May, but has since dropped to 1.3130, up 0.2%, while the Footsie inched up 3 points to 7,191.
One share that has raced higher is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC (LON:AML), up 8% to 545p after Autocar reported billionaire Lawrence Stroll is preparing to buy a major stake in the troubled luxury carmaker.
As the market waits for a key announcement from todays meeting of the OPEC oil-producers cartel in Vienna, oil prices were up slightly but heavyweights BP (LON:BP.) and Royal Dutch Shell (LON:RDSB) were little moved.
The price of a barrel of Brent crude is up 0.5% to US$63.31.
Prices surged yesterday in anticipation of cuts, although analysts say the market may present some resistance as the global economy continues to falter.
Despite a tough capital market environment, UK equities in the oil and gas sector remained flat year-to-date (YTD) wiping out Septembers 8% gains, broker SP Angel pointed out.
Small cap oil and gas indices have stabilised after 2018s decline as, says SP Angel, they are due to engage in an active year of operational activity in 2020, with a number of “high impact drilling catalysts”.
9.45am: Pound makes more gains
One week to go to the general election and all eyes are on the pound, which is continuing to gain ground on the back of a potential Tory majority.
Sterling is up 0.33% against the dollar to 1.3147 and up 0.2% versus the euro to 1.1850, putting pressure on the overseas-focused FTSE 100, which was knocked further into the red, down 17 points or 0.2% to 7,171.
In a quiet day for economic data, some investors were focusing on motor industry number, with private new car registrations falling 6.1% year-over-year in November, worse than the 3.5% average decline in the previous 12 months.
Total registrations, including fleet and business sales, fell by 1.3%.
Not all is lost, noted Pantheon Macroeconomics, as EU consumer confidence rose in November to its highest level since July and now is back in line with its 35-year average, while car price inflation also should ease from Octobers 4.1% rate, given that the present level of sterling against the euro is above the €1.13 average level of the last two years.
“That said, any recovery in demand will be constrained by a declining flow of people coming to the end of PCP finance deals, which typically last three years; registrations were 10% lower in 2017 than in 2016. Accordingly, the underlying trend in registrations probably will be no better than flat next year,” the economists said in a note.
8.30am: Subdued early progress
With the US president Donald Trump storming off in a huff home after the NATO summit and opening new fronts in his global trade war, the markets were due a quieter session on Thursday.
And so it transpired, early on at least, with the FTSE 100 index down just 6 points at 7,182.96.
On currency markets, the pound continued to make headway, however, nudging above US$1.31, hitting levels not seen in more than six months as the market started to price in a Boris Johnson electoral victory with a decent majority after next week's polling.
There also appeared to be some relief that Donald Trump managed to complete his visit to the UK without courting controversy over the NHS.
“As a result of that currency markets appear to be starting to price out the prospect that Labour might win a majority at next weeks election,” said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets.
“Having been so negative on the pound for so long, markets are starting to believe in the prospect that we could well start to see the prospect of an orderly withdrawal from the EU in the next two months, and thus short positions are starting to get squeezed out, sending the currency to its best levels against the euro since before the 2017 election.”
While a boost the national self-esteem, the rise in the British currency did hit the big foreign exchange earners.
The miners figured heavily in the losers list, while British Airways owner IAG (LON:IAG) took a double hit as a spike in the oil price – ahead of today's OPEC meeting – exerted additional pain. The stock was down 1.5%.
Heres a rarity – a retailer making profit upgrades rather than downgrades. And what a reception Dunelm (LON:DLNM) received after saying its online offering was having a material impact on the top line. The shares soared 14% higher.
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